Updated on February 23, 2024
In the realm of the US economy, there’s a mix of positive and negative news. On a positive note, the labor market is attracting more individuals and generating jobs at a pace that maintains low unemployment rates, with indications of a slowdown in inflation. However, on the downside, it appears unlikely that interest rates will experience the significant drops that the markets are speculating about. The Federal Reserve is not expected to make substantial cuts, despite market expectations.
There might be an overestimation of the anticipated rate reductions, even though forecasts for the Fed’s key rate in the coming year have been revised downward. For the latest updates on Fed Interest Rate Cuts in 2024, check this page. I’ll keep you informed about the expected timing of rate cuts in 2024 and discuss the potential effects. Stay tuned for more information on Fed Interest Rate Cuts in 2024.
2024 Federal Interest Rate Cuts Overview
In the coming days, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), responsible for determining monetary policy, will publicly disclose its views. The FOMC will share its best forecasts in the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) for the upcoming year and beyond, even though a change in the current federal-funds target range of 5.25%-5.50% is highly unlikely.
Earlier, the Fed had projected a median fed-funds rate of 5.6% by the end of this year. If realized, this would mark the first change in the SEP since September. In that previous projection, the FOMC aimed for two quarter-point decreases, ultimately reaching 5.1% by December 2024.
Details of 2024 US Fed Interest Rate Cuts
|Topic for today
|Fed Interest Rate Cuts 2024
|Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
|USA Interest Rate in 2023
|5.25% to 5.5%
|Fed Interest Rate Cuts 2024
2024: Federal Reserve Considers Interest Rate Cuts Amid Economic Slowdown
The current state of the USA’s economy suggests a significant reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve in 2024. While many experts anticipate that the cuts may not commence until the second quarter of 2024, there’s speculation that an initial cut could happen as early as the first quarter.
Experts highlight that achieving the central banking system’s 2% inflation rate goal is a primary consideration. The Federal Reserve has emphasized its commitment to fostering a robust economy and maintaining price stability in the United States. Despite prevailing high-interest rates, the current inflation rate stands at 3.2%.
Expected Fed Interest Rate Cuts in 2024
Barclays Forecasts Strong US Economy in 2024 Despite Fed’s Reluctance to Cut Rates
Barclays, in a recent report, predicts robust economic performance for the United States in 2024 and suggests that the Federal Reserve may be hesitant to lower interest rates. Despite consensus estimates indicating a significant slowdown in economic growth, with forecasts of a mere 0.4% rise in real GDP in the first quarter and 0.3% in the second, compared to an anticipated 2.5% average in 2023.
The report also anticipates a sharp deceleration in payroll increases, with inflation approaching the Federal Reserve’s 2% target in 2024. Despite these concerns, the likelihood of a US recession remains high, indicating that one is not expected to occur.
2024 Rate Cut Expectations
Experts project that the Federal Reserve will initiate a series of interest rate reductions in the second quarter of 2024 as the economy shows signs of moderating. These expectations are grounded in expert analyses of decreasing inflation and a weaker labor market. The forecast suggests that the Federal Reserve is likely to implement six rate decreases, commencing in the second quarter of 2019 and extending through 2025.
The cumulative impact of these reductions is expected to lead to a decline in the Federal Funds rate, presently at 5.33%, to approximately 3.83% by the end of 2024, further dropping to around 2.83% by the same date in 2025.
The Federal Reserve System (FRS): An Overview
The United States’ central bank is known as the Federal Reserve System (FRS), commonly referred to as the Fed, and is considered one of the most influential financial organizations globally. Its establishment aimed to provide the nation with a reliable, flexible, and secure financial and monetary system. The Federal Reserve System consists of twelve banks, each operating as a separate district with its own president, alongside a seven-member board.
Effects of Fed Interest Rate Cuts in 2024
Interest rates play a direct role in shaping consumer behavior, influencing various aspects of everyday life. A reduction in interest rates makes borrowing more affordable, easing the financial burden on significant credit expenses such as credit card debt, auto loans, and home mortgages. Conversely, rate increases raise the cost of borrowing, leading to a decrease in consumption. However, savers stand to benefit from higher rates, as they receive improved interest on deposit accounts.