According to a recent study, leading economists in the United States predict a continuous rise in major interest rates, impacting the cost of financing various assets like vehicles and homes. This trend is expected to result in the highest borrowing costs in years. The majority of experts suggest that the Federal Reserve might initiate a decrease in interest rates in 2024, while a smaller portion (6 percent) anticipate such a move in 2025 or beyond.
No expert foresees a reduction in rates this year. The increased interest rates by the Fed have made borrowing more expensive for both consumers and businesses, contributing to a decline in inflation from its peak in 2022. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) projects that U.S. inflation, currently at 3.9%, will decrease to 2.8% in 2024 and further to 2.2% in 2025, just above the Federal Reserve’s target rate of 2%.
2024 USA Interest Rate Overview
Topic |
USA Interest Rate Hike 2024 |
Set by |
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) |
USA Interest Rate in 2023 |
5.25% to 5.5% |
Category |
Finance News |
Expected USA Interest Rate in 2024 |
Updating soon |
Anticipated 2024 Interest Rate Hike
The decision-makers at the Federal Reserve, responsible for setting benchmark interest rates, have extended their timeline for controlling inflation by keeping interest rates high. Their current projection indicates that interest rates will stay above 5% until 2024, suggesting that credit card, personal loan, and mortgage rates will persist at their current elevated levels. If this outlook holds true, depositors stand to benefit from sustained strong rates on certificates of deposit and high-yield savings accounts.
Impact of Interest Rates on U.S. Markets
Changes in interest rates in the USA can have both positive and negative effects on the markets. Central banks often adjust target interest rates in response to economic changes, increasing rates during periods of strong economic growth and decreasing them during economic downturns. The Federal Reserve Board, commonly known as the Fed, determines the federal funds rate, which is the target interest rate for interbank borrowing and lending in the United States. This decision by the Fed has a significant impact on the overall economy.

Understanding the Fed Funds Rate
The federal funds rate, also referred to as the Fed rate, is the interest rate at which American banks lend or borrow money overnight from each other. This rate has a direct influence on interest rates for everyday consumer products such as credit cards and mortgages. Banks need to maintain reserves for liquidity and payment facilitation, leading those in need of additional reserves to borrow from other banks.
Current Fed Interest Rate
The current Fed interest rate is in the range of 5.25% to 5.5%, determined by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Commonly known as the fed funds rate, FOMC rate, or federal funds rate, it represents the rate at which banks and credit unions lend and borrow from each other, setting the standard for most interest rates. The Federal Reserve has the authority to adjust this rate, but it has remained unchanged at 5.25%–5.50% in the past two consecutive meetings.
Expected Timing for Federal Interest Rate Decrease
The Federal Reserve is considering a more substantial rate reduction than initially expected. This decision is driven by policymakers’ confidence in the economy’s sustained strength and the anticipation of a gradual decline in inflation by the next year. The Federal Reserve’s projections indicate a federal funds rate of 5.6% at the year’s end, 5.1% in the subsequent year, and a further reduction to 3.9% by the end of the following year, based on their earlier economic assessments.